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Model risk of risk models

69562910 / PAINE WEBBER GROUP INC


1980-01-14 to 1980-07-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00
min 1.34 1.53 1.40 1.42 1.24 1.39 1.38 1.39
max 3.43 3.91 8.94 11.79 3.22 3.54 7.52 9.79
mean 1.87 2.13 2.68 2.78 1.78 1.93 2.64 2.69
st.dev. 0.41 0.46 1.13 1.44 0.39 0.42 0.99 1.21
Q5% 1.38 1.58 1.60 1.61 1.27 1.43 1.55 1.59
Q50% 1.78 2.02 2.39 2.43 1.72 1.84 2.41 2.39
Q95% 2.64 2.95 4.51 4.58 2.50 2.71 4.40 4.52


1981-07-14 to 1982-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00
min 1.45 1.66 1.10 1.11 1.31 1.50 1.10 1.09
max 3.32 3.78 29.96 47.05 2.83 3.37 22.21 35.33
mean 2.02 2.32 2.22 2.30 1.76 2.07 2.19 2.23
st.dev. 0.38 0.42 1.72 2.58 0.30 0.37 1.36 1.98
Q5% 1.60 1.84 1.23 1.22 1.42 1.67 1.26 1.22
Q50% 1.94 2.21 1.94 1.98 1.66 1.97 1.93 1.94
Q95% 2.70 3.07 3.88 3.89 2.29 2.72 3.85 3.84


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 1.42 1.57 1.23 1.26 1.32 1.46 1.09 1.09
max 6.33 6.94 11.40 11.40 6.29 6.37 11.40 11.40
mean 2.54 2.76 4.21 4.82 2.64 2.58 4.37 4.26
st.dev. 0.85 0.96 1.92 1.94 0.83 0.86 2.26 1.92
Q5% 1.68 1.77 2.08 2.49 1.70 1.68 1.63 2.09
Q50% 2.39 2.50 3.64 4.61 2.58 2.39 3.75 3.64
Q95% 3.64 4.11 7.19 7.69 3.62 3.76 8.09 7.19


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.50 1.85 1.89 5.03 1.35 1.61 1.32 2.83
max 2.62 3.22 7.17 25.29 2.62 2.75 3.55 13.42
mean 1.77 2.40 3.31 10.91 1.65 1.95 2.07 5.86
st.dev. 0.22 0.29 1.43 5.47 0.29 0.23 0.61 2.87
Q5% 1.53 1.93 1.90 5.06 1.37 1.64 1.36 2.85
Q50% 1.71 2.40 2.89 10.06 1.54 1.94 1.91 5.35
Q95% 2.25 2.83 6.32 22.27 2.28 2.39 3.33 11.82


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.77 1.79 1.40 1.41 2.00 1.68 1.35 1.38
max 3.87 4.56 6.21 7.04 3.88 4.06 6.48 6.21
mean 2.87 3.36 3.30 3.30 2.83 2.99 3.61 3.27
st.dev. 0.51 0.65 1.07 1.08 0.48 0.56 1.17 1.04
Q5% 2.11 2.30 2.07 2.08 2.11 2.16 2.03 2.05
Q50% 2.88 3.35 2.97 3.01 2.87 2.96 3.29 2.95
Q95% 3.62 4.27 5.21 5.22 3.61 3.79 5.80 5.22


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 5541.00 5541.00 5532.00 5532.00 5541.00 5541.00 5532.00 5532.00
min 1.16 1.24 1.04 1.02 1.16 1.18 1.06 1.03
max 6.33 6.94 29.96 54.36 6.29 6.37 22.21 35.33
mean 1.77 2.09 2.53 4.71 1.65 1.85 2.15 3.26
st.dev. 0.40 0.52 1.25 6.43 0.39 0.42 0.84 3.08
Q5% 1.38 1.55 1.31 1.35 1.29 1.42 1.27 1.31
Q50% 1.66 1.95 2.22 2.41 1.54 1.74 2.03 2.26
Q95% 2.49 3.03 5.17 20.42 2.37 2.63 3.41 10.61