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Model risk of risk models

87161C10 / SYNOVUS FINANCIAL CORP


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.25 1.32 1.12 1.27 1.17 1.25 1.08 1.12
max 2.82 2.82 2.48 3.05 2.74 2.76 2.44 2.63
mean 2.02 2.17 1.60 1.86 1.79 1.98 1.57 1.67
st.dev. 0.39 0.37 0.31 0.41 0.42 0.38 0.29 0.34
Q5% 1.43 1.52 1.22 1.30 1.28 1.42 1.22 1.23
Q50% 2.01 2.19 1.56 1.78 1.69 1.95 1.53 1.60
Q95% 2.65 2.71 2.17 2.59 2.57 2.59 2.10 2.30


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.69 2.07 1.55 1.39 1.49 1.77 1.56 1.48
max 4.48 6.02 4.28 4.00 4.47 4.87 4.42 4.17
mean 2.32 2.93 2.48 2.36 2.27 2.48 2.52 2.43
st.dev. 0.66 0.86 0.60 0.59 0.68 0.70 0.61 0.60
Q5% 1.72 2.14 1.73 1.62 1.52 1.84 1.75 1.71
Q50% 2.16 2.66 2.42 2.34 2.12 2.26 2.43 2.42
Q95% 3.46 4.60 3.59 3.38 3.39 3.73 3.71 3.52


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00
min 1.25 1.35 1.28 1.28 1.18 1.27 1.28 1.28
max 2.72 2.91 3.44 3.44 2.72 2.77 3.54 3.44
mean 1.76 1.91 2.00 1.98 1.73 1.80 2.00 1.99
st.dev. 0.41 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.39
Q5% 1.27 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.20 1.29 1.38 1.38
Q50% 1.69 1.86 1.96 1.94 1.63 1.73 1.96 1.96
Q95% 2.53 2.71 2.60 2.56 2.53 2.58 2.61 2.57


2007-12-14 to 2009-06-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00
min 1.74 1.90 1.46 1.46 1.66 1.78 1.46 1.46
max 6.76 7.70 14.60 20.55 6.19 7.01 11.87 16.44
mean 3.39 3.77 3.07 3.13 3.17 3.49 3.04 3.09
st.dev. 0.98 1.12 1.25 1.49 0.89 1.02 1.14 1.31
Q5% 2.09 2.30 1.86 1.89 1.97 2.14 1.86 1.87
Q50% 3.27 3.59 2.71 2.71 3.05 3.35 2.70 2.71
Q95% 5.15 5.78 5.38 5.53 4.78 5.30 5.34 5.42


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 6070.00 6070.00 6061.00 6061.00 6070.00 6070.00 6061.00 6061.00
min 1.20 1.28 1.08 1.06 1.13 1.22 1.05 1.04
max 12.90 14.33 14.60 20.55 12.01 12.02 13.83 16.44
mean 2.04 2.32 2.38 2.49 1.92 2.10 2.30 2.37
st.dev. 0.67 0.78 0.96 1.12 0.63 0.69 0.90 0.99
Q5% 1.36 1.46 1.36 1.36 1.29 1.38 1.35 1.35
Q50% 1.84 2.13 2.20 2.30 1.74 1.91 2.15 2.20
Q95% 3.31 3.76 3.86 4.04 3.12 3.38 3.70 3.81