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Model risk of risk models

89233510 / TOYS R US INC


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 1.34 1.44 1.48 1.58 1.32 1.34 1.48 1.49
max 5.36 5.69 6.42 6.42 5.61 5.23 6.88 6.42
mean 2.44 2.45 2.85 3.01 2.64 2.33 2.86 2.87
st.dev. 1.01 1.10 1.31 1.24 1.06 0.99 1.34 1.31
Q5% 1.51 1.47 1.55 1.86 1.60 1.40 1.54 1.58
Q50% 2.08 2.05 2.57 2.65 2.25 1.95 2.57 2.57
Q95% 4.72 4.88 5.54 5.54 4.91 4.55 5.54 5.54


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.29 1.35 1.27 1.88 1.26 1.24 1.11 1.45
max 2.28 2.37 3.27 5.35 2.28 2.16 3.21 3.80
mean 1.63 1.66 2.11 3.07 1.65 1.54 1.95 2.35
st.dev. 0.22 0.21 0.64 1.07 0.23 0.19 0.51 0.76
Q5% 1.33 1.41 1.29 1.95 1.34 1.30 1.31 1.48
Q50% 1.62 1.64 1.96 2.73 1.63 1.53 1.88 2.18
Q95% 2.01 2.02 3.19 4.93 2.04 1.88 2.89 3.68


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.39 1.64 1.18 1.15 1.27 1.46 1.24 1.19
max 3.12 3.67 3.31 3.31 2.90 3.25 3.49 3.31
mean 1.73 2.04 1.96 1.95 1.60 1.81 1.99 1.96
st.dev. 0.37 0.44 0.59 0.58 0.36 0.39 0.61 0.59
Q5% 1.45 1.70 1.25 1.25 1.32 1.52 1.26 1.25
Q50% 1.59 1.86 1.81 1.81 1.47 1.65 1.85 1.81
Q95% 2.70 3.16 3.04 3.04 2.51 2.79 3.13 3.04


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00
min 1.36 1.53 1.19 1.24 1.26 1.40 1.14 1.19
max 2.35 2.72 3.34 3.34 2.35 2.45 3.34 3.34
mean 1.61 1.84 2.08 2.09 1.52 1.66 2.08 2.08
st.dev. 0.18 0.22 0.53 0.52 0.21 0.19 0.53 0.53
Q5% 1.41 1.61 1.26 1.28 1.29 1.46 1.26 1.26
Q50% 1.57 1.79 2.12 2.12 1.45 1.63 2.12 2.12
Q95% 1.95 2.29 2.83 2.83 1.93 2.04 2.83 2.83


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 4599.00 4599.00 4590.00 4590.00 4599.00 4599.00 4590.00 4590.00
min 1.08 1.17 1.05 1.05 1.11 1.08 1.04 1.05
max 5.36 5.69 13.21 18.99 5.61 5.23 10.67 14.96
mean 1.62 1.86 2.13 2.47 1.54 1.66 2.01 2.21
st.dev. 0.33 0.40 0.75 1.10 0.33 0.34 0.66 0.83
Q5% 1.28 1.39 1.29 1.35 1.23 1.28 1.26 1.30
Q50% 1.55 1.79 2.01 2.25 1.47 1.60 1.91 2.07
Q95% 2.16 2.54 3.31 4.77 2.04 2.22 3.08 3.68