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Model risk of risk models

03571040 / ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 31.00 31.00 22.00 22.00 31.00 31.00 22.00 22.00
min 1.56 1.92 1.13 1.15 1.37 1.66 1.15 1.14
max 2.33 2.90 2.56 2.68 2.02 2.49 2.58 2.61
mean 1.75 2.16 1.67 1.72 1.53 1.86 1.67 1.69
st.dev. 0.19 0.25 0.45 0.47 0.16 0.21 0.46 0.46
Q5% 1.57 1.93 1.18 1.19 1.37 1.67 1.17 1.18
Q50% 1.69 2.08 1.52 1.54 1.47 1.80 1.47 1.53
Q95% 2.16 2.68 2.45 2.45 1.87 2.30 2.45 2.45


2007-12-14 to 2009-06-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00 376.00
min 1.52 1.80 1.25 1.32 1.35 1.59 1.10 1.22
max 9.70 12.49 7.18 7.38 9.86 10.52 7.07 7.22
mean 2.86 3.60 2.41 2.91 2.70 3.07 2.25 2.54
st.dev. 1.46 1.87 1.06 1.22 1.49 1.58 1.07 1.08
Q5% 1.60 1.95 1.35 1.60 1.48 1.70 1.21 1.41
Q50% 2.28 2.86 2.11 2.52 2.11 2.44 1.92 2.21
Q95% 6.00 7.59 4.75 5.48 6.11 6.47 4.77 4.84


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 2831.00 2831.00 2822.00 2822.00 2831.00 2831.00 2822.00 2822.00
min 1.37 1.66 1.04 1.03 1.21 1.46 1.06 1.02
max 9.70 13.01 16.69 27.02 9.86 10.52 12.70 20.11
mean 2.64 3.45 2.53 3.30 2.30 2.87 2.32 2.76
st.dev. 1.36 1.94 1.17 2.18 1.15 1.54 0.94 1.48
Q5% 1.48 1.83 1.31 1.35 1.33 1.57 1.25 1.30
Q50% 2.06 2.61 2.29 2.55 1.82 2.20 2.14 2.38
Q95% 5.38 7.35 4.72 7.95 4.51 5.94 4.04 5.74