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Model risk of risk models

31959410 / FIRST CITY BANCORPORATION TX


1981-07-14 to 1982-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00
min 1.31 1.45 1.08 1.09 1.22 1.35 1.08 1.08
max 4.51 5.16 5.40 7.77 4.12 4.68 5.40 6.03
mean 2.01 2.22 2.14 2.17 1.88 2.06 2.14 2.14
st.dev. 0.46 0.52 0.71 0.75 0.41 0.47 0.73 0.72
Q5% 1.35 1.49 1.34 1.35 1.30 1.39 1.30 1.32
Q50% 1.96 2.15 1.99 2.02 1.85 2.01 1.96 1.98
Q95% 2.89 3.25 3.46 3.46 2.67 2.99 3.46 3.46


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 3.88 4.85 1.42 1.51 3.36 4.16 1.31 1.36
max 7.92 9.86 9.36 9.56 6.88 8.47 9.21 9.41
mean 5.16 6.41 3.32 3.41 4.48 5.52 3.26 3.33
st.dev. 1.09 1.37 1.71 1.78 0.94 1.17 1.67 1.74
Q5% 4.09 5.10 1.76 1.74 3.55 4.38 1.64 1.70
Q50% 4.71 5.81 2.77 2.77 4.11 5.02 2.77 2.77
Q95% 7.33 9.13 6.82 6.97 6.36 7.84 6.50 6.85


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 1815.00 1815.00 1806.00 1806.00 1815.00 1815.00 1806.00 1806.00
min 1.23 1.35 1.06 1.05 1.15 1.26 1.05 1.04
max 7.92 9.86 9.36 14.51 6.88 8.47 9.21 11.02
mean 2.14 2.50 2.19 2.28 1.95 2.24 2.15 2.20
st.dev. 0.96 1.24 0.89 0.94 0.83 1.04 0.88 0.91
Q5% 1.43 1.60 1.25 1.32 1.33 1.47 1.21 1.25
Q50% 1.80 2.04 2.03 2.11 1.67 1.86 1.97 2.04
Q95% 4.31 5.34 3.76 3.79 3.79 4.61 3.75 3.76