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Model risk of risk models

40018110 / GRUMMAN CORP


1977-05-14 to 1977-10-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 106.00 106.00 106.00 106.00 106.00 106.00 106.00 106.00
min 1.72 1.97 1.15 1.09 1.53 1.78 1.21 1.12
max 2.83 3.19 3.38 3.64 2.62 2.88 3.33 3.39
mean 2.00 2.31 2.03 2.18 1.84 2.06 1.99 2.04
st.dev. 0.26 0.26 0.50 0.55 0.26 0.25 0.49 0.51
Q5% 1.75 2.06 1.28 1.38 1.58 1.82 1.29 1.29
Q50% 1.88 2.23 1.92 2.07 1.74 1.96 1.85 1.92
Q95% 2.52 2.84 2.89 3.12 2.35 2.56 2.82 2.89


1980-01-14 to 1980-07-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00 127.00
min 1.74 2.14 1.08 1.20 1.55 1.85 1.29 1.06
max 4.28 5.30 8.08 9.47 4.04 4.57 8.40 8.33
mean 2.41 2.93 2.59 2.61 2.27 2.55 2.71 2.57
st.dev. 0.49 0.61 1.26 1.41 0.47 0.52 1.23 1.30
Q5% 1.86 2.23 1.27 1.23 1.77 1.95 1.44 1.25
Q50% 2.25 2.77 2.37 2.31 2.14 2.39 2.48 2.37
Q95% 3.30 4.06 4.99 5.28 3.12 3.52 4.98 5.06


1981-07-14 to 1982-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00 340.00
min 1.86 2.29 1.15 1.17 1.62 1.98 1.13 1.16
max 7.79 7.79 7.40 7.40 8.28 7.55 7.42 7.40
mean 2.55 3.24 2.23 2.26 2.24 2.74 2.23 2.22
st.dev. 0.65 0.71 0.95 0.93 0.66 0.66 0.98 0.94
Q5% 1.91 2.37 1.25 1.26 1.67 2.05 1.25 1.25
Q50% 2.42 3.19 2.01 2.04 2.07 2.64 1.99 2.01
Q95% 3.66 4.47 4.45 4.45 3.28 3.91 4.46 4.45


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 1.69 2.07 1.29 1.47 1.54 1.80 1.29 1.29
max 4.68 5.79 5.80 5.91 4.45 4.98 5.73 5.83
mean 2.47 2.99 2.62 2.66 2.31 2.59 2.61 2.62
st.dev. 0.73 0.89 1.00 1.00 0.69 0.76 1.00 1.00
Q5% 1.71 2.08 1.50 1.59 1.56 1.82 1.49 1.52
Q50% 2.35 2.83 2.49 2.50 2.17 2.44 2.49 2.50
Q95% 4.11 4.97 4.60 4.58 3.83 4.28 4.66 4.58


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.57 1.88 1.18 1.35 1.42 1.65 1.12 1.23
max 2.31 2.85 4.32 4.32 2.02 2.46 4.32 4.32
mean 1.83 2.22 1.99 2.15 1.62 1.94 1.95 2.04
st.dev. 0.17 0.22 0.64 0.68 0.14 0.19 0.63 0.65
Q5% 1.63 1.97 1.25 1.37 1.45 1.72 1.22 1.31
Q50% 1.76 2.15 1.83 1.97 1.58 1.87 1.77 1.85
Q95% 2.14 2.63 3.13 3.39 1.89 2.28 3.11 3.18


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00 5130.00
min 1.27 1.45 1.06 1.04 1.20 1.30 1.03 1.05
max 11.19 12.08 12.04 12.69 12.95 11.08 12.37 11.94
mean 2.17 2.72 2.14 2.27 1.91 2.32 2.11 2.17
st.dev. 0.64 0.96 0.84 0.91 0.55 0.74 0.85 0.86
Q5% 1.54 1.78 1.26 1.28 1.40 1.60 1.25 1.26
Q50% 2.02 2.48 2.03 2.14 1.80 2.14 1.99 2.05
Q95% 3.22 4.32 3.25 3.56 2.73 3.52 3.24 3.33