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Model risk of risk models

74386210 / PROVIDENT COMPANIES INC


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.82 2.30 1.21 1.48 1.57 1.96 1.10 1.30
max 4.85 6.29 6.61 6.61 4.12 5.28 6.61 6.61
mean 2.71 3.46 2.76 3.14 2.33 2.93 2.67 2.84
st.dev. 0.75 0.96 1.14 1.33 0.63 0.81 1.11 1.17
Q5% 1.89 2.42 1.35 1.67 1.63 2.04 1.28 1.44
Q50% 2.42 3.05 2.44 2.63 2.08 2.60 2.39 2.52
Q95% 4.11 5.31 4.84 5.51 3.52 4.46 4.84 4.84


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.93 2.51 1.26 1.30 1.63 2.10 1.23 1.26
max 4.60 6.09 7.06 11.56 3.86 5.04 5.19 8.39
mean 2.86 3.77 2.73 3.05 2.41 3.13 2.59 2.79
st.dev. 0.75 0.99 1.41 2.39 0.62 0.82 1.08 1.70
Q5% 1.99 2.61 1.38 1.40 1.67 2.17 1.31 1.37
Q50% 2.71 3.57 2.25 2.13 2.29 2.97 2.31 2.13
Q95% 4.34 5.73 5.62 8.90 3.64 4.75 5.03 6.70


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 2727.00 2727.00 2718.00 2718.00 2727.00 2727.00 2718.00 2718.00
min 1.20 1.27 1.10 1.09 1.12 1.21 1.04 1.11
max 5.67 7.50 29.27 44.44 4.88 6.21 29.20 33.68
mean 2.02 2.50 2.31 2.74 1.79 2.16 2.17 2.42
st.dev. 0.51 0.73 1.17 1.70 0.44 0.58 1.08 1.31
Q5% 1.39 1.54 1.30 1.37 1.28 1.42 1.24 1.33
Q50% 1.94 2.41 2.08 2.36 1.70 2.08 1.98 2.15
Q95% 2.99 3.89 3.93 4.96 2.65 3.25 3.61 4.24