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Model risk of risk models

74406A10 / PROVIDIAN FINANCIAL CORP


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 112.00 112.00 103.00 103.00 112.00 112.00 103.00 103.00
min 1.58 1.89 1.24 1.24 1.43 1.67 1.24 1.24
max 9.04 11.48 13.62 13.62 9.04 9.75 13.62 13.62
mean 2.83 3.51 3.18 3.23 2.65 3.02 3.15 3.19
st.dev. 1.71 2.23 1.95 1.95 1.73 1.87 1.95 1.95
Q5% 1.62 1.95 1.41 1.47 1.44 1.71 1.40 1.42
Q50% 1.93 2.31 2.58 2.69 1.73 2.03 2.53 2.59
Q95% 6.49 8.35 6.83 6.84 6.41 7.03 6.78 6.83


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 1088.00 1088.00 1079.00 1079.00 1088.00 1088.00 1079.00 1079.00
min 1.54 1.89 1.24 1.24 1.35 1.66 1.17 1.24
max 10.36 16.45 18.86 37.31 9.04 11.44 13.62 21.49
mean 3.54 5.26 6.31 9.50 2.65 3.89 3.66 6.50
st.dev. 1.78 2.87 3.38 5.64 1.15 1.98 1.74 3.59
Q5% 1.69 2.23 2.08 2.73 1.46 1.83 1.46 2.14
Q50% 2.95 4.28 5.90 8.84 2.30 3.22 3.37 6.03
Q95% 7.12 10.90 12.33 18.36 4.95 7.80 6.86 12.62