Market moves that are supposed to happen every half-decade keep happening. Jon Danielsson. Modelsandrisk.org

Market moves that are supposed to happen every half-decade keep happening

May 14, 2015
Bloomberg today had an interesting piece, called Market Moves That Are Supposed to Happen Every Half-Decade Keep Happening. Here is their self-described "terribly simplistic list"

Bloomberg today had an interesting piece, called Market Moves That Are Supposed to Happen Every Half-Decade Keep Happening. Here is their self-described "terribly simplistic list"

  • 2003, June : The prices of Japanese government bonds slumped suddenly, causing Japanese banks to bump up against their VaR limits and sell-off their JGB holdings.
  • 2008, October: Widespread market turmoil causes a sharp uptick in VaR across the financial system.
  • 2013, June: The "taper tantrum" sparks a selloff in U.S. Treasuries, with at least one bank reportedly breaching its VaR limit.
  • 2014, Oct. 15: U.S. Treasury market suddenly "melts-up," causing investors to quickly reposition their portfolios.
  • 2015, January: The Swiss National Bank unexpectedly removes its currency floor, causing a further VaR shock.
  • 2015, May: Investors sell German government debt, with market participants labeling the event the latest VaR shock.

I can think of some others, any suggestions?


Capital controls
Why Iceland can now remove capital controls

Models and risk
Bloggs and appendices on artificial intelligence, financial crises, systemic risk, financial risk, models, regulations, financial policy, cryptocurrencies and related topics
© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,